Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Year of the Pitcher: The Sequel

By all standards, the past two seasons have been impressive ones for pitching.  But don't expect that to change anytime soon.  By Austin Mirmina 

(AP Photo/Matt Slocum, File)
   If you thought Roy Halladay’s remarkable no-hitter in the playoffs last October marked 
the end of pitching dominance in the MLB, you were certainly wrong.  Their impressive reign has stretched into this season as well, where ace’s such as the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw and the Tigers’ Justin Verlander have befuddled hitters with an arsenal of filthy pitches. Offensive production in 2011 dropped significantly: teams averaged 4.28 runs per game, the lowest since 1992 (4.12) when all-stars like Greg Maddux and Roger Clemens were still dominating. 
     The major league batting average also took a hit as a result of improved pitching, according to STATS LLC. In 2011, players batted .255, the lowest since 1989. Conversely, MLB pitchers compiled a 3.94 ERA, the lowest since that 1992 season when runs were at a minimum.
     "The pendulum is switching," New York Mets manager Terry Collins told ESPN. "Pitchers are throwing harder. Guys are throwing 94 to 98 (mph). Bullpen. Rotation. Years ago, 92 was a hard fastball. Now it's an average fastball. Guys might even say it's a tick below."
     As hitting becomes increasingly more difficult for players, should fans be worried that a ‘dead ball era’ is eminent in the future of professional baseball? Not quite, although lack of home runs and scoring will deflate the energy and excitement that characterizes so many beloved ballparks.
     But who say’s pitchers can’t create a little excitement of their own? Justin Verlander tossed his second career no-no, Clayton Kershaw was one of three pitchers with 20+ wins, and Tampa Bay’s James Shields threw 11 complete games – all very impressive accomplishments.
     If teams continue to foster pitching talent, then it would not be unreasonable to expect a similar trend of limited run support for years to come. Until batters find some way to gain an advantage, pitchers will always have the upper hand.

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