By Max Berger
As of December 27, 2012, three of the top six teams in the
Western Conference were from the Southwest Division. The San Antonio Spurs, the
Memphis Grizzlies and the Houston Rockets are the third, fourth and sixth seeds
in the West respectively, and should all be playoff teams come seasons end.
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AP Photo/ Eric Gay |
San Antonio and Memphis have been strong all season, and
should finish within the top four seeds of the West, along with the Los Angeles
Clippers and the defending conference champions Oklahoma City Thunder. Tim
Duncan and Zach Randolph, both power forwards for their respective teams, the
Spurs and the Grizz, are having MVP-caliber seasons and are largely responsible
for their team’s early success.
Houston was expected by most to miss the playoffs, but has
been a surprise thus far this season and has been on fire lately. The Rockets
are 7-3 in their last 10 games and are putting on a show. They are averaging
the highest points per game in the NBA at 105.3, lead by new acquisition James
Harden, who is averaging at fourth best in the league 25.8 points per game, and
point guard Jeremy Lin, who has contributed more in the scoring department as
of late.
At this point in the season, a little more than a quarter of
the way through, here is what is clear about the Southwest Division:
Contenders: San Antonio and Memphis. The Spurs will
challenge the Thunder and Clippers for the Western Conference crown. When
healthy, they are talented, experienced and deep enough to win the West, the
only question being if they are young and athletic enough to hang with the
Thunder and Clips in a seven-game series.
Although they have struggled a bit lately, Memphis, too,
could contend in the West. They have a dominant frontcourt
tandem with Randolph and Marc Gasol, and if they can nail three pointers, they
will be dangerous
Playoffs: Houston. With the trio of Harden, Lin and Omer
Asik, the Rockets have surprised everyone and will end up being a tough out in
the playoffs. While the team may be one missing piece away from being a
contender, its offensive prowess is enough to keep things interesting in the
playoffs and should prove to be a challenging test for the top teams in the
conference.
Out: Dallas and New Orleans. The Mavericks could end up
making a run as Dirk Nowitzki shakes off the rust, but they are too old and not
athletic enough to make the playoffs this season – the conference is just too
young and too good. As the season continues, though, don’t be surprised to see
the Mavs, two years removed from the Finals, make a run at the eighth seed.
New Orleans, on the other hand, has no shot of making the
playoffs. A few years down the road the “Pelicans” could emerge as a playoff
team, but for right now they are competing more for the number one pick in the
2013 NBA Draft than they are for the playoffs.