Wednesday, April 2, 2014

Now What?

Your Weekly Premier League Column

By Jonathan Gault

As this weekend’s games – and really, this entire season – showed us, no matter how much we analyze the Premier League, no one can predict what’s going to happen. From December 8 to March 14, Chelsea didn’t lose a league match. Since then, it’s put six past Arsenal while losing to the likes of Aston Villa and Crystal Palace. Jose Mourinho has long deflected Chelsea’s title chances, even when the Blues looked invincible. Maybe he knew something we didn’t (doesn’t that always seem to be the case with Mourinho?). Chelsea now trails leaders Liverpool by two points and has just a two-point cushion to third-place Man City, which has two games in hand. With just six games remaining, the margin for error is very thin at Stamford Bridge.

So instead of making predictions, let’s take a look around the league to see where some of the other clubs stand with six weeks remaining in the season. Predicting the future may be impossible, but I’m fully capable of summarizing the present.

Liverpool, 1st, 71 pts
Matches remaining: 6

What it’s chasing: its first league title since 1990

No team is playing better at the moment than the Reds, who have reeled off eight straight wins and haven’t lost in the league in 2014. Since the calendar turned, Liverpool is averaging 3.38 goals/game, led by the otherworldly Luis Suarez, whose 29 Premier League goals – in just 27 games – is a club record. The Reds are playing the most exciting football in the league, and continued their free-scoring ways with a comfortable 4-0 win over Spurs on Sunday. Liverpool’s remaining schedule is not easy – City and Chelsea still have to visit Anfield. But six wins from six matches will ensure the title goes to Merseyside.

Man City, 3rd, 67 pts
Matches remaining: 8

What it’s chasing: its second league title in three years

City, like Liverpool, controls its destiny. Five of its remaining eight are at the Etihad Stadium, where City has failed to win just once this season. The big away game is obviously the trip to Anfield on April 13, but the other road trips aren’t easy: visits to Crystal Palace (April 27) and Everton (May 3). City did well to gain a point at Arsenal at the weekend against a game Gunners squad eager to make up for recent embarrassments. The Blues will have to keep grinding out those points if they’re to overtake Liverpool and Chelsea at the top.

Arsenal, 4th, 64 pts
Matches remaining: 6

What it’s chasing: the final Champions League spot

Until recently, the Gunners were in the thick of the title race, but a rough patch in the schedule has left Arsenal with just two wins from eight. A large part of that is due to the opponents (in order: Liverpool, Man U, Sunderland, Stoke, Spurs, Chelsea, Swansea, Man City), but Arsenal was always going to have to do well in that stretch to claim the title. With City three points – and two games – up in third, Arsenal must now focus on holding off Everton for the final Champions League spot. As fate may have it, the two teams will play each other at Goodison Park Sunday afternoon. It’s a huge match for both, but Everton is the team that cannot afford to lose. Arsenal faces just one top-half team the rest of the way (9th-place Newcastle, at home), while Everton still has to play Man U, Southampton and Man City, all in a three-week span.

Everton, 5th, 60 pts
Matches remaining: 7

What it’s chasing: its first Champions League berth since 2005

While the red half of Merseyside has gotten all the attention, things are pretty good in the blue half right now too. Sunday’s 3-1 win over Fulham was Everton’s fifth straight in the league. The Toffees trail Arsenal by four points and have a game in hand. As mentioned above, the schedule isn’t easy, but every player seems capable of scoring right now – Everton scored six goals from six different sources in its two wins last week.


Apologies for not getting to the bottom of the table this week – though I can’t end this column without at least mentioning the epic 3-3 draw between West Brom and Cardiff at The Hawthorns. Cardiff was 2-0 down within 9 minutes, went down 3-2 in stoppage time and somehow rescued a point thanks to Mats Moller Daehli’s 95th-minute equalizer. It might be a case of too little, too late for Cardiff – who has played a game more than West Brom yet still trails them by three points in the race for 17th. But should Ole Gunnar Solskjaer engineer some season-saving magic in the Welsh capital, Daehli’s goal will be looked upon as the turning point. There will be plenty more action at the bottom this weekend, with Cardiff hosting Crystal Palace and West Brom traveling to Norwich. I’ll try to make sense of it all in this space a week from now.

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