By Matt Rose
Selection Sunday has finally come and gone, and millions
tormenting themselves, frantically filling out bracket after bracket in hopes
of creating the perfect one. For those of you who are waiting until the
Thursday deadline, or completely unsatisfied with your picks in this year’s
wide-open tournament, help has arrived. Here is a regional breakdown, including
the favorite, Cinderella, team on upset alert, and the team to come out of the
region.
Midwest:
The NCAA Tournament Committee completely abandoned the “S”
curve, which paired the top overall seed with the lowest two seed, highest
three seed, and lowest four seed. The Midwest has eight teams in the AP Top 25,
including four ranked thirteen or better: Louisville (2), Duke (6), Michigan
St. (9), St. Louis (13).
Therefore, the region is unpredictable, despite hosting the top overall
seed.
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AP Photo/Michael Perez |
·
Favorite:
Louisville (1) The Cardinals
enter the NCAA Tournament fresh off an
impressive Big East Championship win over Syracuse, in which they scored
fifty-six points in the second half. They likely will not face a tough test
until the Sweet Sixteen, where they will meet Oregon, Oklahoma St., St. Louis,
or New Mexico St., all of whom they should be able to handle.
·
Cinderella:
Creighton (7) As the Tournament reminds us every year, one player can lead
a team into the late rounds (remember Steph Curry?). Creighton forward Doug
McDermott is arguably the National Player of the Year, averaging 23.6 PPG and
7.5 REB. If McDermott catches fire, they can knock off Duke and make a push.
·
Upset
Alert: Oklahoma St. (5) vs. Oregon (12) This is almost unfair to call an
upset, as Oregon is fresh off a PAC 12 Championship victory and ranked
twenty-fifth in the country. Look for the Ducks to build off their momentum and
take down an inconsistent Oklahoma St. team.
·
Final
Four Team: Duke (2) The Blue Devil’s loss to Maryland in the ACC
Quarterfinal was their first loss with Ryan Kelly in the lineup all year. With
a balanced inside outside scoring attack, Duke is arguably the most complete
team in the tournament.
West:
The West house’s Gonzaga, the number one team in the AP Top
25, and everybody’s pick as the first one seed to fall. With teams in the AP
Top 25 from the one through eighth seeds, who will come out of the region?
·
Favorite:
Ohio State (2) After a rough patch during the latter half of the season,
the Buckeyes have rattled off eight straight victories en route to a Big Ten
Tournament Championship. During that span, they knocked off Minnesota,
Illinois, Michigan State (twice), Indiana, and Wisconsin. There is no hotter
team in basketball right now.
·
Cinderella:
Ole Miss (12) Everybody loves the 12-5 upset, and Ole Miss has the
potential to knock off Wisconsin if Marshall Henderson gets loose. Fresh off a
SEC Championship win over Florida, Ole Miss can score in bunches, and if
Wisconsin’s defense yields, or its slow paced offense does not convert, Ole
Miss can steal one, and maybe go further if their play remains energized.
·
Upset
Alert: Gonzaga (1) vs. Wichita St./ Pittsburgh (8/9) The Bulldogs efficient
and explosive offense is untested against quality opponents. With a record of
1-2 against the AP Top 25, Pitt/ Wichita St. are capable of taking out the
Zags. If you like picking upsets, this is the region to do it, as Iowa St.
(10), Belmont (11), Ole Miss (12) Boise St./ La Salle (13) and Harvard (14) are
all capable of defeating their first round opponents.
·
Final
Four Team: Ohio State (2) They are the favorite for a reason, as they are
tested and experienced. Juniors Deshaun Thomas and Aaron Craft are Tournament
veterans, poised to make another deep run.
South:
The South is an interesting region to predict. As good as
Kansas (1), Georgetown (2), Florida (3), and Michigan (4) have looked
throughout the season, they have looked equally terrible at times. The region
features four of the most talented, yet inconsistent teams in the country.
·
Favorite:
Kansas (1) The Jayhawks will not face much opposition until the Sweet Sixteen,
where they will face either Michigan or VCU, assuming they are not upset. At
their best, they can beat anybody, and assuming they are playing at their peak
level, the Jayhawks can run through the inconsistent South.
·
Cinderella:
VCU (5) Shaka Smart is one of the best coaches in all of basketball, and
consistently leads the Rams into the late rounds of the Tournament.
Defensively, the Rams have six players who average .8 SPG, or greater. If the
Rams can force turnovers, as they do so well, they can run the South.
·
Upset
Alert: UCLA (6) vs. Minnesota (11) Minnesota has faltered following a 15-1
start, finishing the season 5-11, but their roster is flowing with NBA size and
athleticism. Further, UCLA is young and inexperienced, and will be without
their second leading scorer Jordan Adams, who broke his foot in the PAC 12
Tournament. Minnesota Coach Tubby Smith must achieve some results in this year’s
Tournament if he wants to keep his job, so look for the Golden Gophers to
pounce on UCLA early.
·
Final
Four Team: Florida (3) The Gators have looked like the best team in college
basketball at times this year. Despite an SEC Tournament Championship loss to
Ole Miss, the Gators have veteran size inside with Erik Murphy and Patric
Young. Senior guards Mike Rosario and Kenny Boynton are quick and steady ball
handlers. The Gators experienced inside-outside attack will lead to Tournament
success in the South.
East:
Fan favorites Indiana (1) and Miami (2) are generating lots
of Championship buzz, and soon to be former Big East powers Marquette (3) and
Syracuse (4) are enigmatic, at best. In the East, choosing the favorites may be
best.
·
Favorite:
Indiana (1) The Hoosiers have been the best team in basketball for much of
the season. The trio of Cody Zeller, Victor Oladipo, and Christian Wafford has
been phenomenal all season, averaging a combined 43 PPG, 20.8 REB, while
shooting an astounding 54% from the field. Without a glaring weakness, the
Hoosiers are a tough out.
·
Cinderella:
Davidson (14) First off, Butler can make a long run again this year, but
they have lost the right to be labeled a “Cinderella” anymore. Davidson,
meanwhile, is 26-7 and scores frequently and efficiently. Marquette is only as
good as Vander Blue plays. If Davidson can defeat Marquette, they could take
down fellow Mid-Major Butler and find themselves in the Sweet Sixteen.
·
Upset
Alert: Syracuse (4) Anybody who has watched this team knows the Orange can
beat anybody in the Nation, but are always a candidate to explode behind
turnover-prone guard Michael Cater-Williams. If Carter-Williams
shows his youth and shooters James Southerland, Brandon Triche, and Trevor
Cooney go cold, the Orange could be bounced early.
·
Final
Four Team: Indiana (1) Simply, the Hoosiers are the most well rounded team,
and Tom Creen is an ideal coach to lead this team all the way.
Final Four: Midwest:
Duke; West: Ohio State; South: Florida; East: Indiana
Championship: Duke
72, Indiana 68